What is negotiated in peace processes? Agendas and success factors 1989-2012

Juan E. Ugarriza, Andrés Cotrina, Natalia Sequera

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This article argues that agendas of negotiation in peace processes are good indicators for the presence of factors that lead to success in the attempt of bringing armed conflicts to an end. While literature suggests a series of psychological and contextual elements that may help explain the outcome of a peace process, this article demonstrates the usefulness of incorporating the agendas as part of a systematic study. Hence, it presents results of the analysis of 83 peace processes developed between 1989 and 2012, describing the technical and political topics discussed by the parties and identifying trends in terms of times, geography, nature of the conflict, and outcomes. Finally, the paper shows that discussion of topics such as transformation of rebel organizations into political parties, or their integration into the national armed forces, are related to a higher probability of success in the process.

Translated title of the contribution¿Qué se negocia en los procesos de paz? Agendas y factores de éxito 1989-2012
Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)153-173
Number of pages21
JournalAnalisis Politico
Issue number77
StatePublished - 2014

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • History
  • Sociology and Political Science
  • Political Science and International Relations


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