An estimation of the pattern of diffusion of mobile phones: The case of Colombia

Luis Fernando Gamboa, Jesús Otero

Resultado de la investigación: Contribución a RevistaArtículo

28 Citas (Scopus)

Resumen

This paper examines the diffusion pattern of mobile telephony in Colombia. The empirical modelling approach adopted in the paper starts off by choosing between the two functional forms that are most frequently used in the literature, namely the Gompertz and the Logistic models. After applying a formal statistical test to choose the preferred functional form, the evidence suggests that the pattern of diffusion can be best characterised as following a Logistic model. The findings also suggest that despite the fact that in recent years the rate of growth of mobile phone subscribers has started to slow down, there still appears to be room for further expansion as the saturation level is expected to be reached in 2013. The estimated saturation level is consistent with some individuals possessing more than one mobile device. © 2009 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Idioma originalEnglish (US)
Páginas (desde-hasta)611-620
Número de páginas10
PublicaciónTelecommunications Policy
DOI
EstadoPublished - nov 1 2009

Huella dactilar

Colombia
Mobile phones
Logistics
logistics
Statistical tests
statistical test
Mobile devices
evidence
literature

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An estimation of the pattern of diffusion of mobile phones: The case of Colombia. / Gamboa, Luis Fernando; Otero, Jesús.

En: Telecommunications Policy, 01.11.2009, p. 611-620.

Resultado de la investigación: Contribución a RevistaArtículo

TY - JOUR

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AU - Gamboa, Luis Fernando

AU - Otero, Jesús

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AB - This paper examines the diffusion pattern of mobile telephony in Colombia. The empirical modelling approach adopted in the paper starts off by choosing between the two functional forms that are most frequently used in the literature, namely the Gompertz and the Logistic models. After applying a formal statistical test to choose the preferred functional form, the evidence suggests that the pattern of diffusion can be best characterised as following a Logistic model. The findings also suggest that despite the fact that in recent years the rate of growth of mobile phone subscribers has started to slow down, there still appears to be room for further expansion as the saturation level is expected to be reached in 2013. The estimated saturation level is consistent with some individuals possessing more than one mobile device. © 2009 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

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