Presumptive asymptomatic COVID-19 carriers’ estimation and expected person-to-person spreading among repatriated passengers returning from China

Aníbal A. Teherán; Gabriel Camero; Ronald Prado; Benjamin Moreno; Harol Trujillo; Rafael A. Ramírez; Diana C. Miranda; Alberto Paníz-Mondolfi; Juan David Ramírez

doi:10.1016/j.tmaid.2020.101688

Presumptive asymptomatic COVID-19 carriers’ estimation and expected person-to-person spreading among repatriated passengers returning from China

Aníbal A. Teherán, Gabriel Camero, Ronald Prado, Benjamin Moreno, Harol Trujillo, Rafael A. Ramírez, Diana C. Miranda, Alberto Paníz-Mondolfi, Juan David Ramírez

Research output: Contribution to journal › Letter › peer-review

4 Scopus citations

Abstract

Over the last 10 weeks the COVID-19 epidemic has exceeded 10 to 32 times the total number of confirmed SARS and MERS cases respectively. This has forced several countries around the world to establish extraordinary plans in terms of Public Health in order to prevent global expansion, including logistic design and guidelines with high security standards to repatriate citizens residing in China [1,2]. We believe that the information published daily in scientific documents as in gray material from government entities may be extremely valuable for estimating the pooled proportion of suspected asymptomatic carriers for COVID-19 (PAC-COVID-19). It is also possible to determine the number of PAC-COVID-19 during a repatriation plan by adjusting to the current R0 in Wuhan, to estimate the frequency of returnees in whom the infection could possibly spread, in context of a positive symptomatic returnee for COVID- 19. Therefore, herein we did so including the building of an online calculator to estimate the presumptive asymptomatic COVID-19 carriers.

Translated title of the contribution	Estimación de presuntos portadores asintomáticos de COVID-19 y propagación prevista de persona a persona entre los pasajeros repatriados que regresan de China
Original language	English (US)
Article number	101688
Journal	Travel Medicine and Infectious Disease
Volume	37
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tmaid.2020.101688
State	Accepted/In press - Dec 4 2020

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health
Infectious Diseases

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

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10.1016/j.tmaid.2020.101688

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Teherán, A. A., Camero, G., Prado, R., Moreno, B., Trujillo, H., Ramírez, R. A., Miranda, D. C., Paníz-Mondolfi, A., & Ramírez, J. D. (Accepted/In press). Presumptive asymptomatic COVID-19 carriers’ estimation and expected person-to-person spreading among repatriated passengers returning from China. Travel Medicine and Infectious Disease, 37, Article 101688. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tmaid.2020.101688

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title = "Presumptive asymptomatic COVID-19 carriers{\textquoteright} estimation and expected person-to-person spreading among repatriated passengers returning from China",

abstract = "Over the last 10 weeks the COVID-19 epidemic has exceeded 10 to 32 times the total number of confirmed SARS and MERS cases respectively. This has forced several countries around the world to establish extraordinary plans in terms of Public Health in order to prevent global expansion, including logistic design and guidelines with high security standards to repatriate citizens residing in China [1,2]. We believe that the information published daily in scientific documents as in gray material from government entities may be extremely valuable for estimating the pooled proportion of suspected asymptomatic carriers for COVID-19 (PAC-COVID-19). It is also possible to determine the number of PAC-COVID-19 during a repatriation plan by adjusting to the current R0 in Wuhan, to estimate the frequency of returnees in whom the infection could possibly spread, in context of a positive symptomatic returnee for COVID- 19. Therefore, herein we did so including the building of an online calculator to estimate the presumptive asymptomatic COVID-19 carriers.",

author = "Teher{\'a}n, {An{\'i}bal A.} and Gabriel Camero and Ronald Prado and Benjamin Moreno and Harol Trujillo and Ram{\'i}rez, {Rafael A.} and Miranda, {Diana C.} and Alberto Pan{\'i}z-Mondolfi and Ram{\'i}rez, {Juan David}",

year = "2020",

month = dec,

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doi = "10.1016/j.tmaid.2020.101688",

language = "English (US)",

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journal = "Travel Medicine and Infectious Disease",

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Teherán, AA, Camero, G, Prado, R, Moreno, B, Trujillo, H, Ramírez, RA, Miranda, DC, Paníz-Mondolfi, A & Ramírez, JD 2020, 'Presumptive asymptomatic COVID-19 carriers’ estimation and expected person-to-person spreading among repatriated passengers returning from China', Travel Medicine and Infectious Disease, vol. 37, 101688. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tmaid.2020.101688

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T1 - Presumptive asymptomatic COVID-19 carriers’ estimation and expected person-to-person spreading among repatriated passengers returning from China

AU - Teherán, Aníbal A.

AU - Camero, Gabriel

AU - Prado, Ronald

AU - Moreno, Benjamin

AU - Trujillo, Harol

AU - Ramírez, Rafael A.

AU - Miranda, Diana C.

AU - Paníz-Mondolfi, Alberto

AU - Ramírez, Juan David

PY - 2020/12/4

Y1 - 2020/12/4

N2 - Over the last 10 weeks the COVID-19 epidemic has exceeded 10 to 32 times the total number of confirmed SARS and MERS cases respectively. This has forced several countries around the world to establish extraordinary plans in terms of Public Health in order to prevent global expansion, including logistic design and guidelines with high security standards to repatriate citizens residing in China [1,2]. We believe that the information published daily in scientific documents as in gray material from government entities may be extremely valuable for estimating the pooled proportion of suspected asymptomatic carriers for COVID-19 (PAC-COVID-19). It is also possible to determine the number of PAC-COVID-19 during a repatriation plan by adjusting to the current R0 in Wuhan, to estimate the frequency of returnees in whom the infection could possibly spread, in context of a positive symptomatic returnee for COVID- 19. Therefore, herein we did so including the building of an online calculator to estimate the presumptive asymptomatic COVID-19 carriers.

AB - Over the last 10 weeks the COVID-19 epidemic has exceeded 10 to 32 times the total number of confirmed SARS and MERS cases respectively. This has forced several countries around the world to establish extraordinary plans in terms of Public Health in order to prevent global expansion, including logistic design and guidelines with high security standards to repatriate citizens residing in China [1,2]. We believe that the information published daily in scientific documents as in gray material from government entities may be extremely valuable for estimating the pooled proportion of suspected asymptomatic carriers for COVID-19 (PAC-COVID-19). It is also possible to determine the number of PAC-COVID-19 during a repatriation plan by adjusting to the current R0 in Wuhan, to estimate the frequency of returnees in whom the infection could possibly spread, in context of a positive symptomatic returnee for COVID- 19. Therefore, herein we did so including the building of an online calculator to estimate the presumptive asymptomatic COVID-19 carriers.

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ER -

Presumptive asymptomatic COVID-19 carriers’ estimation and expected person-to-person spreading among repatriated passengers returning from China

Abstract

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

UN SDGs

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