Consistent phenological shifts in the making of a biodiversity hotspot: The Cape flora

Ben H. Warren, Freek T. Bakker, Dirk U. Bellstedt, Benny Bytebier, Regine Claen-Bockhoff, Léanne L. Dreyer, Dawn Edwards, Félix Forest, Chloé Galley, Christopher R. Hardy, H. Peter Linder, A. Muthama Muasya, Klaus Mummenhoff, Kenneth C. Oberlander, Marcus Quint, James E. Richardson, Vincent Savolainen, Brian D. Schrire, Timotheüs Van Der Niet, G. Anthony VerboomChristopher Yesson, Julie A. Hawkins

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

16 Scopus citations


Background: The best documented survival responses of organisms to past climate change on short (glacial-interglacial) timescales are distributional shifts. Despite ample evidence on such timescales for local adaptations of populations at specific sites, the long-term impacts of such changes on evolutionary significant units in response to past climatic change have been little documented. Here we use phylogenies to reconstruct changes in distribution and flowering ecology of the Cape flora - South Africa's biodiversity hotspot - through a period of past (Neogene and Quaternary) changes in the seasonality of rainfall over a timescale of several million years. Results: Forty-three distributional and phenological shifts consistent with past climatic change occur across the flora, and a comparable number of clades underwent adaptive changes in their flowering phenology (9 clades; half of the clades investigated) as underwent distributional shifts (12 clades; two thirds of the clades investigated). Of extant Cape angiosperm species, 14-41% have been contributed by lineages that show distributional shifts consistent with past climate change, yet a similar proportion (14-55%) arose from lineages that shifted flowering phenology. Conclusions: Adaptive changes in ecology at the scale we uncover in the Cape and consistent with past climatic change have not been documented for other floras. Shifts in climate tolerance appear to have been more important in this flora than is currently appreciated, and lineages that underwent such shifts went on to contribute a high proportion of the flora's extant species diversity. That shifts in phenology, on an evolutionary timescale and on such a scale, have not yet been detected for other floras is likely a result of the method used; shifts in flowering phenology cannot be detected in the fossil record.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Article number39
JournalBMC Evolutionary Biology
Issue number1
StatePublished - 2011
Externally publishedYes

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics


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